Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Bologna |
32.56% | 24.5% | 42.94% |
Both teams to score 58.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.85% | 44.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.47% | 66.53% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% | 26.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% | 61.17% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% | 20.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.74% | 53.25% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |