Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia2 - 1Cagliari
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Cagliari |
| 44.17% | 26.07% | 29.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
