Sassuolo

1 - 0

Sampdoria

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.