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Serie A
Sampdoria logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Spezia Calcio logo

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Spezia

Amione (23')
Gunter (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Verde (59')
Bastoni (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Lazio
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-0 Spezia

 Both among the lowest scorers in Serie A this season, Saturday's derby could go to the wire - particularly as Sampdoria and Spezia are among the three sides that have conceded the most goals during the second half. A lapse in concentration rather than a moment of glory may see the points' destiny decided, and Samp can finally give their long-suffering fans something to cheer about. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
40.91% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.41% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)75.12% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)25.8% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.11 -0.11)60.76% (0.112 0.11)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)30.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.106 0.11)67.16% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 40.9%
    Spezia 32.41%
    Draw 26.68%
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Spezia

Sampdoria
53.3%
Draw
31.7%
Spezia
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5pm
gameweek 7
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')
Sabiri (11')
Ferrari (23')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 23
Spezia
1-0
Sampdoria
Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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