Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
We said: Juventus 1-0 Sampdoria
Masters of the 1-0 win, Juventus were dealt a taste of their own medicine last weekend, but they should surely build on Thursday's success by getting the better of downtrodden Samp. The visitors can barely buy a goal, while their hosts tend to find a way past even the deepest defence - quite often through set-pieces.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 67.99% . A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.29% .
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%) , while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.58%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result Juventus Draw Sampdoria 67.99% ( -0.63) 19.72% ( 0.29) 12.29% ( 0.35)
Both teams to score 44.99% ( 0.16)
52.25% ( -0.37) 47.74% ( 0.37)
30.06% ( -0.35) 69.93% ( 0.34)
86.97% ( -0.3) 13.03% ( 0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.42% ( -0.61) 39.58% ( 0.61)
51.73% ( 0.36) 48.26% ( -0.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 16.57% ( 0.26) 83.42% ( -0.26)
Juventus 67.98%
Sampdoria 12.29%
Draw 19.72%
Juventus Draw Sampdoria 2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 67.98% 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.72% 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.29%
How you voted: Juventus vs Sampdoria
88
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-14 11:29:50
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