Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 1
Nantes

(Juventus win 4-1 on aggregate)

Vlahovic (13')
Chiesa (54'), Danilo (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Blas (60')
Castelletto (45+1'), Mohamed (57'), Corchia (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

The odd aberration aside, Juventus give very little away at the back, while Nantes are hardly prolific, for all their much-improved form. A low-scoring encounter should ensue, and a one-goal margin of victory for the Old Lady would keep the tie finely balanced ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Nantes
50.44% ( 0.13)	26.06% ( 0.01)	23.49% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99% (

-0.14)

56.01% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9% (

-0.11)

77.1% (

0.11)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74%

22.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

-0)

55.71% (

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.74% (

-0.2)

39.26% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

-0.19)

75.97% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Juventus 50.44%

Nantes 23.49%

Draw 26.06%

Juventus	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.44%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.49%