Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
We said: Juventus 2-1 Fiorentina
The only thing consistent about Fiorentina is their inconsistency, so it is unclear which shade of Viola will turn up in Turin. That notwithstanding, Juventus are growing closer to full strength in terms of personnel and have begun coming to terms with their points penalty - it is the Old Lady who will come out on top, then.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83% . A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%) . The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
Result Juventus Draw Fiorentina 49.83% ( 4.31) 24.14% ( -0.85) 26.02% ( -3.45)
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.17)
53.72% ( 1.44) 46.28% ( -1.43)
31.43% ( 1.34) 68.57% ( -1.34)
81.37% ( 2.37) 18.62% ( -2.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.07% ( 3.84) 49.92% ( -3.84)
68.25% ( -1.84) 31.75% ( 1.84)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.82% ( -2.16) 68.17% ( 2.17)
Juventus 49.83%
Fiorentina 26.02%
Draw 24.14%
Juventus Draw Fiorentina 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.83% 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.14% 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.02%
How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina
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rhs 2.0
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