Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Juventus |
36.32% ( 3.91) | 24.79% ( -0.07) | 38.89% ( -3.84) |
Both teams to score 58.48% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% ( 1.16) | 44.71% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% ( 1.11) | 67.07% ( -1.11) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 2.84) | 24.2% ( -2.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% ( 3.86) | 58.54% ( -3.86) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -1.36) | 22.85% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -2.05) | 56.58% ( 2.05) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.55) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.47) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.23) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.77) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.56) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |