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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 2-1 Cremonese

Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.9% (0.879 0.88) 27.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.91% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.148 0.15)55.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (0.122 0.12)76.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.553 0.55)26.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.722 0.72)62.05% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.47 -0.47)32.29% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.535 -0.54)68.79% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.9%
    Cremonese 31.91%
    Draw 27.18%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cremonese
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
Apr 28, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Cremonese
Maggiore (87')
Terzi (31'), Masi (70'), Lopez (90')
Lopez (90')

Cinaglia (26'), Pesce (47'), Canini (67'), Castrovilli (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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