Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese1 - 4Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Cremonese 1-3 Napoli
Even if Spalletti takes the opportunity to rotate his squad a little, amid a packed autumn schedule, Napoli possess more than enough guile and precision to see off a limited Cremonese side on Sunday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% ( 1.34) | 22.38% ( 0.45) | 55.67% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.29) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 1.1) | 33.2% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.19% ( 1.2) | 69.81% ( -1.19) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.68) | 15.16% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.24% ( -1.3) | 43.75% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Cremonese 21.95%
Napoli 55.67%
Draw 22.38%
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
How you voted: Cremonese vs Napoli
Cremonese
7.3%Draw
2.4%Napoli
90.2%123
