Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% ( 1.34) | 22.38% ( 0.45) | 55.67% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( -0.29) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( 1.1) | 33.2% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( 1.2) | 69.81% ( -1.19) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% ( -0.68) | 15.16% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% ( -1.3) | 43.75% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |