Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
69.69% ( -0.02) | 18.28% ( 0.01) | 12.03% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.91% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -0.02) | 42.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -0.02) | 64.47% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% ( -0.01) | 10.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.91% ( -0.03) | 35.09% ( 0.03) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.91% ( 0) | 45.09% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.99% ( 0) | 81.01% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.07% 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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