Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
69.69% (![]() | 18.28% (![]() | 12.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% (![]() | 42.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% (![]() | 64.47% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% (![]() | 10.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.91% (![]() | 35.09% (![]() |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.91% (![]() | 45.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.99% (![]() | 81.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.07% 1-0 @ 10.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |