Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	AC Milan	4	4	8
4	Napoli	3	7	7
5	Lazio	3	3	7

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Empoli	3	-1	2
15	Lecce	3	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	-3	1

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Lecce
64.16% ( -0.27)	20.34% ( 0.16)	15.5% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-0.46)

43.52% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-0.45)

65.91% (

0.45)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

-0.22)

12.85% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.78% (

-0.45)

39.22% (

0.45)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

-0.13)

40.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

-0.12)

77.42% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Napoli 64.16%

Lecce 15.5%

Draw 20.34%

Napoli	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 64.16%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34%	0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.5%