Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Torino
0 - 2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Torino had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Napoli
23.16%	21.78%	55.05%

Both teams to score 60.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.66%

38.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.38%

60.62%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14%

65.85%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.08%

13.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.64%

41.35%

Score Analysis

Torino 23.16%

Napoli 55.05%

Draw 21.78%

Torino	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 6% 1-0 @ 5.02% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.16%	1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.3% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.92% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.05%