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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
1 - 2
Napoli

Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Lazio
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

Last Six:
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli

 Though Sarri lost both games against his former employer last season, by an aggregate score of 6-1, he can get the better of Spalletti on this occasion, as Napoli have been more hit-and-miss since a summer of comings and goings in the transfer market; Lazio are the more settled side and should edge a close encounter in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
27.75% (0.302 0.3) 25.74% (0.601 0.6) 46.51% (-0.906 -0.91)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-1.662 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (-2.277 -2.28)51.77% (2.272 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (-2.009 -2.01)73.53% (2.006 2.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.964 -0.96)33.29% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (-1.075 -1.08)69.91% (1.07 1.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-1.347 -1.35)22.24% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-2.064 -2.06)55.67% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 27.75%
    Napoli 46.51%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.515 0.52)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.648 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.37% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.51%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
47.4%
Draw
22.4%
Napoli
30.3%
152
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
Apr 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
5-2
Lazio
Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Dec 20, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
2-0
Napoli
Immobile (9'), Alberto (56')
Hoedt (11'), Escalante (24'), Immobile (43'), Lazzari (90+1')

Lozano (13'), Koulibaly (30'), Lobotka (75')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
3-1
Lazio
Fabian (9'), Insigne (54' pen.), Politano (90+2')
Koulibaly (15'), Rui (69'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Elmas (90+5')
Immobile (22')
Proto (70'), Immobile (72'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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