Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
32.56% | 25.16% | 42.28% |
Both teams to score 56.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% | 47.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% | 27.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.93% | 63.07% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% | 55.67% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |