MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:08:55| >> :60:32:32:
Porto
Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Lazio logo

Porto
2 - 1
Lazio

Martinez (37', 49')
Grujic (4'), Vieira (45+1'), Galeno (72'), Evanilson (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Porto 2-1 Lazio

Though Lazio are on a largely positive run of form they do not often travel well, so Porto can take a first-leg advantage to Rome next week. Despite recent improvement, the visitors can also be exploited defensively, and the Primeira Liga leaders have sufficient firepower to make them pay for any slip-ups or positional errors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.26%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 20.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawLazio
59.26%20.23%20.51%
Both teams to score 62.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74%56.26%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.91%
Score Analysis
    Porto 59.26%
    Lazio 20.51%
    Draw 20.23%
PortoDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 3.81%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-1 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Porto vs Lazio

Porto
74.9%
Draw
14.9%
Lazio
10.2%
255
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!