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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Maritimo

Porto
2 - 1
Maritimo

Evanilson (18'), Pepe (48')
Otavio (45'), Wendell (69'), Mario (78'), Grujic (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Costa (53')
Vidigal (31'), Costa (43'), Costa (51'), Winck (57'), Guitane (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Porto 2-0 Maritimo

 Porto have simply been outstanding in the Primeira Liga this season and have sounded their name as genuine contenders for the title. Maritimo, meanwhile, appear to have found their groove after a slow start to the season, claiming four wins and one draw from their last six games. We expect a thrilling contest with the hosts coming away with all three points at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.18%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMaritimo
77.69%14.71%7.6%
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64%39.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3%61.7%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7%8.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.05%28.95%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.58%52.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.72%86.27%
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.68%
    Maritimo 7.6%
    Draw 14.71%
PortoDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 13.47%
3-0 @ 11.18%
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 7.23%
4-0 @ 6.96%
4-1 @ 4.5%
5-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.45%
6-0 @ 1.44%
6-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 77.68%
1-1 @ 6.99%
0-0 @ 4.35%
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.71%
0-1 @ 2.81%
1-2 @ 2.26%
0-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 7.6%

How you voted: Porto vs Maritimo

Porto
86.5%
Draw
10.8%
Maritimo
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Maritimo
1-1
Porto
Xadas (45+4')
Costa (14'), de Mello Costa (59'), Pelagio (67'), Winck (90+1')
Diaz (35')
Taremi (62')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 20
Maritimo
1-2
Porto
Andrade (18')
Hermes (32'), Joel (69'), Pelagio (71'), Jean (86'), Abedzadeh (87'), Junior (90+4')
Uribe (14'), Otavio (90+3' pen.)
Manafa (32'), Marchesin (83')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Porto
2-3
Maritimo
Pepe (42'), Otavio (90+9')
Mbemba (52'), Pepe (82')
Pinho (24', 52'), Nanu (90+4')
Pinho (45+2'), Kibe (73'), Costa (87'), Pelagio (90+5')
Jun 10, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 26
Porto
1-0
Maritimo
Corona (6')
Manafa (57'), Telles (61'), Uribe (90+4')
Telles (85')

Moreno (19'), Bebeto (36'), Milson (78')
Oct 30, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 9
Maritimo
1-1
Porto
Bambock (11')
Abedzadeh (42'), Marcelinho (64'), Pelagio (76'), Costa (77')
Pepe (84')
Corona (24'), Mbemba (33'), Otavio (76'), Telles (82'), Marchesin (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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