MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:46:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Porto

Estoril
2 - 3
Porto

Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Porto

After a sensational start to life in the top flight, Estoril Praia have wobbled in recent weeks, managing just one win from their last seven league outings. They now face the daunting task of going up against a rampant Porto side who have won each of their last 11 league games and are unbeaten so far this season. Porto appear simply unstoppable at the moment and we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
9.43%17.09%73.48%
Both teams to score 43.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85%44.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47%66.53%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.63%51.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.41%85.59%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5%10.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.83%34.17%
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 9.43%
    Porto 73.48%
    Draw 17.09%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.59%
2-1 @ 2.7%
2-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 9.43%
1-1 @ 8.1%
0-0 @ 5.4%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 17.09%
0-2 @ 13.7%
0-1 @ 12.16%
0-3 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 6.86%
0-4 @ 5.8%
1-4 @ 3.86%
0-5 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-5 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-6 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 73.48%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
24.2%
Draw
3.0%
Porto
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
Aug 9, 2017 7pm
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Marega (35', 62'), Brahimi (54'), Marcano (71')
Pereira (77')

Allano (51')
Jan 28, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
1-2
Porto
Dankler (93')
Amado (40'), Diakhite (47'), Claro (51'), Mano (55'), Tocantins (56'), Moreira (82'), Dankler (94')
Silva (82' pen.), Corona (91')
Herrera (52'), Andre (76'), Pedro (88')
Aug 20, 2016 8.30pm
Jan 30, 2016 6.30pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Diego (4')
Fernando (58'), Mano (61'), Mattheus (63')
Aboubakar (18'), Pereira (33'), Andre (82')
Marcano (65'), Aboubakar (68'), Manuel Corona (79'), Pereira (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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