Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 12, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
0 - 1
Estoril

Lukovic (80'), Carraca (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fonte (43')
Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Belenenses 1-1 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia will be seeking to arrest their slump in form and continue their fine start to the season when they face a struggling Belenenses side. The hosts head into the game with in decent form, claiming two wins from their last four games, and we predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Estoril Praia
20.16%	24.63%	55.21%

Both teams to score 47.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03%

53.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58%

75.42%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.52%

41.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.02%

77.98%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 20.16%

Estoril Praia 55.2%

Draw 24.63%

Belenenses	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.11% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.16%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-3 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.2%