Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
42.67% | 28.62% | 28.7% |
Both teams to score 44.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.4% | 81.59% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% | 64.52% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.05% | 37.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.28% | 74.72% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |