Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
59.2% | 24.02% | 16.78% |
Both teams to score 43.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% | 77.14% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% | 18.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% | 50.14% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.28% | 46.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.73% | 82.27% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 14.66% 2-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.21% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |