Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses1 - 1Guimaraes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 22.75% | 27.28% | 49.97% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% | 60.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% | 80.82% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.29% | 42.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.96% | 79.04% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.99% | 59% |
| Score Analysis |
Belenenses 22.75%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.96%
Draw 27.27%
| Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.75% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 14.72% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 49.96% |
How you voted: Belenenses vs Guimaraes
Belenenses
15.2%Draw
15.2%Vitoria de Guimaraes
69.7%66
Form Guide
