Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses2 - 0Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
| 39.36% | 28.14% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 46.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% | 79.55% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% | 29.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.79% | 65.21% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.73% | 70.28% |
| Score Analysis |
Belenenses 39.35%
Tondela 32.5%
Draw 28.14%
| Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.5% |
How you voted: Belenenses vs Tondela
Belenenses
33.3%Draw
24.1%Tondela
42.6%54
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2018 6pm
Form Guide
