Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Jan 16, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
3 - 1
Boavista

Gonzalez (40'), Agra (56', 85')
Augusto (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mangas (59')
Castro (11'), Awaziem (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Boavista
28.85%	28.8%	42.34%

Both teams to score 43.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.66%

62.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.01%

81.98%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12%

74.88%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.06%

Score Analysis

Tondela 28.85%

Boavista 42.33%

Draw 28.79%

Tondela	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 13.69% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-3 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.07% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.33%