Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
| 46.21% | 26.52% | 27.28% |
| Both teams to score 49.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.94% | 55.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.68% | 76.32% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.05% | 57.96% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% | 35.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.81% | 72.19% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 46.2%
Tondela 27.28%
Draw 26.51%
| Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.28% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Tondela
Nacional
50.0%Draw
40.9%Tondela
9.1%22
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2018 3.30pm
Apr 22, 2017 4pm
Form Guide
