Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Nacional |
71.37% | 17.73% | 10.9% |
Both teams to score 46.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.34% | 42.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% | 65.07% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.35% | 10.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.51% | 34.49% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.51% | 47.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.15% | 82.85% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.68% 1-0 @ 11.32% 3-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.89% Total : 71.36% | 1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.77% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.59% Total : 10.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |