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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Nacional

Porto
2 - 0
Nacional

Oliveira (21' pen.), Marega (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedrao (20'), Azouni (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawNacional
71.37%17.73%10.9%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34%42.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.07%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.35%10.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51%34.49%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51%47.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.15%82.85%
Score Analysis
    Porto 71.36%
    Nacional 10.9%
    Draw 17.73%
PortoDrawNacional
2-0 @ 12.68%
1-0 @ 11.32%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 7.05%
4-0 @ 5.3%
4-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.36%
1-1 @ 8.43%
0-0 @ 5.06%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 17.73%
0-1 @ 3.77%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 10.9%

How you voted: Porto vs Nacional

Porto
100%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
0.0%
18
Head to Head
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nacional
0-4
Porto

Riascos (71')
Telles (14'), Torres (28'), Corona (59'), Marega (88' pen.)
Jan 7, 2019 9.15pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Nacional
Brahimi (32', 57'), Tiquinho (38')
Rochez (40')
Mar 4, 2017 6.15pm
Porto
7-0
Nacional
Torres (31'), Brahimi (45'), Silva (52', 89'), Soares (55', 71'), Layun (63')

Figueiredo (36'), Hamzaoui (83')
Figueiredo (63')
Oct 1, 2016 8.30pm
Nacional
0-4
Porto

Figueiredo (13'), Correia (88')
Figueiredo (88')
Jota (11', 38', 44'), Silva (58')
Layun (56'), Neves (87')
Apr 17, 2016 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto6501123915
3Benfica6411124813
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
9Gil Vicente614167-17
10Casa Pia621358-37
11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
12AVS6213610-47
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Nacional6114412-84
17Estrela Amadora602439-62
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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