Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
36.38% | 28.49% | 35.13% |
Both teams to score 46.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.97% | 60.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.74% | 80.26% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% | 31.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% | 67.91% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% | 32.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.83% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |