Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.49% ( -0) | 25.54% ( -0) | 40.97% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% ( 0) | 48.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( 0) | 70.67% ( -0) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 0) | 63.22% ( -0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% | 23.49% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( 0) | 57.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |