Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Motherwell.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
46.79% ( 0) | 24.87% ( 0) | 28.34% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( -0) | 47.79% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% ( -0) | 69.98% ( 0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( -0) | 20.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% | 52.94% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -0) | 30.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% ( -0) | 67.03% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |