Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
32.82% ( 1.87) | 27.91% ( -0.02) | 39.27% ( -1.86) |
Both teams to score 47.71% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.81% ( 0.49) | 58.19% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% ( 0.38) | 78.84% ( -0.38) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% ( 1.59) | 32.93% ( -1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% ( 1.73) | 69.51% ( -1.73) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0.82) | 28.86% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% ( -1.03) | 64.73% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |