Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
42.16% ( -0.01) | 24.94% ( -0) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 0.01) | 46.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( 0.01) | 68.35% ( -0.01) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% ( 0) | 21.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% ( 0) | 55.05% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( 0.01) | 26.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% ( 0.01) | 62.11% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |