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Scottish Premiership
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Johnstone logo

St Mirren
4 - 0
St Johnstone

Baccus (36'), Mandron (48', 70'), Kiltie (90')
O'Hara (32'), Baccus (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Rangers
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-0 St Johnstone

 St Mirren have been in a difficult patch of form as of late, but they will likely see playing the team at the bottom of the league as the perfect way to change that. St Johnstone's struggles in front of goal will likely be their downfall once again, which could lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
42.55% (0.108 0.11) 26.65% (-0.107 -0.11) 30.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (0.419 0.42)53.97% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.35 0.35)75.41% (-0.348 -0.35)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.246 0.25)25.11% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.339 0.34)59.8% (-0.336 -0.34)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.21799999999999 0.22)32.17% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (0.245 0.25)68.66% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.55%
    St Johnstone 30.8%
    Draw 26.65%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: St Mirren vs St Johnstone

St Mirren
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
1-1
St Mirren
Rudden (75')
Gogic (86')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-2
St Johnstone
Kiltie (42'), O'Hara (81')
Carey (33' pen.), Clark (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Johnstone
3-0
St Mirren
Clark (26'), Wright (66'), Carey (86' pen.)
Carey (33'), Mitchell (82')

Dunne (30'), Erhahon (58'), Ayunga (82'), Gallagher (82'), Fraser (85')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
St Johnstone
0-1
St Mirren

Gordon (80')
Kiltie (53')
Fraser (77'), Tait (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
St Mirren
2-1
St Johnstone
Ronan (42' pen.), Greive (49')
Fraser (27'), Greive (67')
Hendry (28' pen.)
Davidson (33'), Gordon (63'), Hendry (82')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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