MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:49:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Johnstone logo

St Mirren
4 - 0
St Johnstone

Baccus (36'), Mandron (48', 70'), Kiltie (90')
O'Hara (32'), Baccus (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Rangers
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-0 St Johnstone

St Mirren have been in a difficult patch of form as of late, but they will likely see playing the team at the bottom of the league as the perfect way to change that. St Johnstone's struggles in front of goal will likely be their downfall once again, which could lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
42.55% (0.108 0.11) 26.65% (-0.107 -0.11) 30.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (0.419 0.42)53.97% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.35 0.35)75.41% (-0.348 -0.35)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.246 0.25)25.11% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.339 0.34)59.8% (-0.336 -0.34)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.21799999999999 0.22)32.17% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (0.245 0.25)68.66% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.55%
    St Johnstone 30.8%
    Draw 26.65%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: St Mirren vs St Johnstone

St Mirren
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-2
St Johnstone
Kiltie (42'), O'Hara (81')
Carey (33' pen.), Clark (90+6')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Johnstone
3-0
St Mirren
Clark (26'), Wright (66'), Carey (86' pen.)
Carey (33'), Mitchell (82')

Dunne (30'), Erhahon (58'), Ayunga (82'), Gallagher (82'), Fraser (85')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
St Johnstone
0-1
St Mirren

Gordon (80')
Kiltie (53')
Fraser (77'), Tait (90+1')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
St Mirren
2-1
St Johnstone
Ronan (42' pen.), Greive (49')
Fraser (27'), Greive (67')
Hendry (28' pen.)
Davidson (33'), Gordon (63'), Hendry (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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