Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
42.55% ( 0.11) | 26.65% ( -0.11) | 30.8% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( 0.42) | 53.97% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( 0.35) | 75.41% ( -0.35) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( 0.25) | 25.11% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.2% ( 0.34) | 59.8% ( -0.34) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% ( 0.22) | 32.17% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.34% ( 0.25) | 68.66% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |