Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
45.51% ( -0.12) | 28.55% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.79% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.2% ( -0.04) | 62.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.68% ( -0.03) | 82.32% ( 0.03) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( -0.1) | 63.2% ( 0.1) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% ( 0.06) | 40.85% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.57% ( 0.05) | 77.42% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 14.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |