Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.02%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.31% ( -0.07) | 29.42% ( -0.03) | 40.27% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 42.86% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.15% ( 0.08) | 63.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.92% ( 0.05) | 83.08% ( -0.06) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.19% ( -0.01) | 37.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% ( -0.01) | 74.58% ( 0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( 0.1) | 31.08% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( 0.12) | 67.4% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 13.73% 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |