Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Livingston.