Scottish League Cup | Second Round

Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Cochrane (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cameron (21')
Donnelly (13'), Walker (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 St Johnstone
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rangers	5	11	13
3	Hearts	5	3	10
4	Aberdeen	5	6	9

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Hibernian	5	-1	5
9	Kilmarnock	5	-7	4
10	St Johnstone	5	-6	3

We said: Hearts 2-1 Kilmarnock

Both sides, who saw their respective losing streaks come to an end at the weekend, will head into Wednesday with renewed confidence as they look to kick off their cup campaign on a high. Hearts have won three of their last four home games and we are backing them to squeeze out a narrow win against Kilmarnock, who have lost their two away games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
46.34% ( 0.25)	25.54% ( 0.17)	28.13% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

-0.95)

50.73% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37% (

-0.85)

72.63% (

0.85)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

-0.29)

21.89% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-0.44)

55.14% (

0.43)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-0.81)

32.46% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02% (

-0.92)

68.98% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Hearts 46.33%

Kilmarnock 28.13%

Draw 25.53%

Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.33%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.13%