Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 1
FC Zurich

(FC Zurich win 3-1 on aggregate)

Grant (18'), Rowles (42'), Shankland (47')
Grant (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rohner (80')
Conde (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hearts and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, August 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Motherwell	4	2	9
4	Hearts	4	2	7
5	Aberdeen	4	1	6

We said: Hearts 1-1 FC Zurich (FC Zurich to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hosting a European match for the first time since 2016, Hearts will be confident of turning the tie around at Tynecastle, but they will need to be on top of their game across the pitch if they are to progress past a resurgent Zurich outfit. However, the Swiss side showed their European experience in the first leg and we can see them frustrating the Jam Tarts to edge through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	FC Zurich
45.46% ( -0.2)	24.22% ( 0.02)	30.32% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.51% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

0.04)

43.82% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

0.03)

66.21% (

-0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.07)

19.43% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73% (

-0.12)

51.27% (

0.12)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

0.14)

27.38% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

0.18)

62.84% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Hearts 45.47%

FC Zurich 30.32%

Draw 24.22%

Hearts	Draw	FC Zurich
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.32%