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Europa League
FC Zurich
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Letzigrund

FC Zurich
3 - 0
Linfield

Avdijaj (11', 26'), Santini (84')
Kamberi (62'), Hornschuh (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer (33'), Cooper (59'), McClean (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Zurich and Linfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Zurich

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-3 Sion
Sunday, August 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Linfield

Last Six:
    Last Game: Linfield 0-2 FC Zurich
    Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa League

    We said: FC Zurich 2-1 Linfield (FC Zurich to win 4-1 on aggregate)

     Both sides have struggled for form in the opening weeks of the new season, but Zurich got the better of Linfield in the first leg and will be the favourites to progress to the next round considering their two-goal advantage. Linfield will be hoping to put up more of a fight in Switzerland, but we can see the hosts edging out their Northern Irish counterparts on Thursday. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 20.82%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Linfield win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

    Result
    FC ZurichDrawLinfield
    57.07% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09) 22.11% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.82% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
    Both teams to score 55.91% (0.105 0.11)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.22% (0.079000000000001 0.08)42.78% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    34.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)65.18% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
    FC Zurich Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    85.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    56.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
    Linfield Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.61% (0.124 0.12)34.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    28.9% (0.134 0.13)71.1% (-0.137 -0.14)
    Score Analysis
        FC Zurich 57.07%
        Linfield 20.82%
        Draw 22.11%
    FC ZurichDrawLinfield
    2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
    2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
    3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
    3-2 @ 3.37% (0.01 0.01)
    4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    5-1 @ 1.16%
    5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 2.83%
    Total : 57.07%
    		1-1 @ 10.37%
    2-2 @ 5.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
    0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
    3-3 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
    Other @ 0.17%
    Total : 22.11%
    		1-2 @ 5.54% (0.018 0.02)
    0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    1-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.88% (0.013 0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
    Other @ 2.08%
    Total : 20.82%

    How you voted: FC Zurich vs Linfield

    FC Zurich
    81.8%
    Draw
    9.1%
    Linfield
    9.1%
    55
    Head to Head
    Aug 4, 2022 7.45pm
    Linfield
    0-2
    FC Zurich

    Hall (14'), Roscoe (84'), Palmer (90'), Fallon (90+3')
    Aiyegun (8'), Gnonto (64')
    Kamberi (41'), Avdijaj (87')
    rhs 2.0
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