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Europa League
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
FC Zurich

Linfield
0 - 2
FC Zurich


Hall (14'), Roscoe (84'), Palmer (90'), Fallon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aiyegun (8'), Gnonto (64')
Kamberi (41'), Avdijaj (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Linfield and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

Last Six:
    Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 8-0 Linfield
    Wednesday, July 27 at 5pm in Champions League

    FC Zurich

    Last Six:
    Last Game: St Gallen 2-0 FC Zurich
    Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

    We said: Linfield 1-1 FC Zurich

     While Zurich will be regarded as the favourites for this encounter, Linfield should not be underestimated and have performed well on home soil in recent weeks. A closely-fought contest is set to be played out on Thursday and both sides may settle for a score draw to keep themselves in the tie heading into next week's second leg. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.22%) and 3-1 (4.86%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

    Result
    LinfieldDrawFC Zurich
    39.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.15% (-0.012 -0.01) 38.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
    Both teams to score 68.75% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    68.55% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    47.08% (0.065000000000005 0.07)52.91% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
    Linfield Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.28% (0.031000000000006 0.03)16.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    53.38% (0.055999999999997 0.06)46.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
    FC Zurich Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)17.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.08% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Linfield 39.8%
        FC Zurich 38.04%
        Draw 22.15%
    LinfieldDrawFC Zurich
    2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
    3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0029999999999992 0)
    2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    3-2 @ 4.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
    3-0 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-1 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
    4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-3 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 3.47%
    Total : 39.8%
    		1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 7.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
    3-3 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    Other @ 0.55%
    Total : 22.15%
    		1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 4.63%
    0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
    1-4 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-4 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
    0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
    Other @ 3.17%
    Total : 38.04%

    How you voted: Linfield vs FC Zurich

    Linfield
    27.6%
    Draw
    20.7%
    FC Zurich
    51.7%
    87
    rhs 2.0
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