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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Coventry City

Burnley
2 - 0
Coventry

Sarmiento (47'), Egan Riley (80')
Trafford (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bassette (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Coventry City

Given Burnley's resilience at home this term, it is difficult to see them losing on Tuesday at Turf Moor. However, the hosts have struggled for goals of late, and they come up against a Coventry side that have snatched valuable points against the division's best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
44% (-0.263 -0.26) 25.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 30.41% (0.334 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.449 0.45)49.79% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.398 0.4)71.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (0.067000000000007 0.07)22.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (0.10100000000001 0.1)56.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.462 0.46)30.31% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.55 0.55)66.49% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44%
    Coventry City 30.41%
    Draw 25.58%
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.41%

How you voted: Burnley vs Coventry

Burnley
Draw
Coventry City
Burnley
74.4%
Draw
16.3%
Coventry City
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-0
Coventry
Beyer (82')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
0-1
Burnley
Tella (39')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')
Mar 15, 2011 3pm
Burnley
2-2
Coventry
Rodriguez (18', 79')
Carlisle (81'), Elliott (82')
Jutkiewicz (61'), McSheffrey (75')
O'Halloran (36'), Baker (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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