Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.