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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Reading | 9 | -5 | 15 |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
57.35% ( -0.6) | 22.62% ( 0.8) | 20.03% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -3.83) | 46.07% ( 3.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -3.73) | 68.37% ( 3.73) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( -1.49) | 15.81% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -2.83) | 44.97% ( 2.83) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -2.4) | 37.07% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -2.47) | 73.85% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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