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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Bristol City

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wells (27')
Scott (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBristol City
57.35% (-0.597 -0.6) 22.62% (0.804 0.8) 20.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-3.001 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-3.826 -3.83)46.07% (3.832 3.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-3.725 -3.73)68.37% (3.73 3.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.492 -1.49)15.81% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.83 -2.83)44.97% (2.835 2.83)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-2.404 -2.4)37.07% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-2.466 -2.47)73.85% (2.473 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.35%
    Bristol City 20.03%
    Draw 22.61%
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% (1.166 1.17)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.9 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Burnley vs Bristol City

Burnley
65.7%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol City
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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