Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wells (27')
Scott (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Reading	9	-5	15
5	Burnley	9	6	14
6	Sunderland	9	5	14

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Sunderland	9	5	14
7	Bristol City	9	4	14
8	Queens Park Rangers	9	3	14

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
57.35% ( -0.6)	22.62% ( 0.8)	20.03% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

-3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

-3.83)

46.07% (

3.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63% (

-3.73)

68.37% (

3.73)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

-1.49)

15.81% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.02% (

-2.83)

44.97% (

2.83)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

-2.4)

37.07% (

2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-2.47)

73.85% (

2.47)

Score Analysis

Burnley 57.35%

Bristol City 20.03%

Draw 22.61%

Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.35%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.03%