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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Bristol City

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wells (27')
Scott (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBristol City
57.35% (-0.597 -0.6) 22.62% (0.804 0.8) 20.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-3.001 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-3.826 -3.83)46.07% (3.832 3.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-3.725 -3.73)68.37% (3.73 3.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.492 -1.49)15.81% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.83 -2.83)44.97% (2.835 2.83)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-2.404 -2.4)37.07% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-2.466 -2.47)73.85% (2.473 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.35%
    Bristol City 20.03%
    Draw 22.61%
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% (1.166 1.17)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.9 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Burnley vs Bristol City

Burnley
65.7%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol City
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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