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EFL Cup
Shrewsbury Town
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Burnley logo

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Burnley


Da Costa (57'), Flanagan (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bastien (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Burnley

Last Six:
Last Game: Burnley 3-3 Blackpool
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-3 Burnley

 In the early portion of the new season Burnley have had the ball throughout the majority of their matches, whereas the Shrews have been forced to sit back and sustain their share of attacks, and given the gap in quality between these two sides, we expect the Clarets to find the back of the net a few times in this encounter, which should be more than enough for them to move into the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurnley
15.49% (0.0010000000000012 0) 20.81% (0.0010000000000012 0) 63.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.57% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.82%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 15.49%
    Burnley 63.69%
    Draw 20.81%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-1 @ 4.27%
2-0 @ 2.15%
3-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 9.9%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 11.45%
0-2 @ 11.41%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 7.58%
1-3 @ 6.54%
0-4 @ 3.77%
1-4 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.41%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 63.69%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Burnley

Shrewsbury Town
13.3%
Draw
6.7%
Burnley
80.0%
60
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2022 7pm
Shrewsbury
1-3
Burnley
Shipley (46')
Bastien (27'), Tucker (59'), Thomas (85')
rhs 2.0
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