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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield United | 9 | 12 | 20 |
2 | Norwich City | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Blackburn Rovers | 9 | 0 | 15 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Bristol City | 8 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Watford | 9 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
55.1% ( 0.61) | 22.68% ( 0.06) | 22.22% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.44% ( -1.04) | 43.56% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.05% ( -1.03) | 65.95% ( 1.03) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( -0.16) | 15.7% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( -0.29) | 44.76% ( 0.29) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -1.17) | 33.5% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% ( -1.31) | 70.14% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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