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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Coventry City

Luton
2 - 2
Coventry

Morris (4', 15')
Onyedinma (31'), Lansbury (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Sheaf (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Coventry City

Coventry arrive lacking any confidence, and, while Luton are yet to establish the dominance on home turf that they have shown in previous seasons, they should have enough to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawCoventry City
45.52% (0.903 0.9) 26.45% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 28.03% (-0.979 -0.98)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.792 -0.79)54.41% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22% (-0.663 -0.66)75.78% (0.66499999999999 0.66)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.089000000000013 0.09)23.84% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.126 0.13)58.02% (-0.124 -0.12)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-1.175 -1.18)34.47% (1.175 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-1.272 -1.27)71.19% (1.274 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.51%
    Coventry City 28.03%
    Draw 26.45%
Luton TownDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: Luton vs Coventry

Luton Town
75.7%
Draw
17.1%
Coventry City
7.1%
70
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Luton
2-0
Coventry
Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')

McFadzean (41')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Coventry
0-0
Luton

O'Hare (38'), Hamer (41'), Kelly (46')

Berry (28'), Potts (81')
Feb 24, 2019 12pm
Luton
1-1
Coventry
Pearson (16')
Ruddock (29'), LuaLua (84')
Shipley (34')
Bayliss (43'), Thomas (58'), Shipley (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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