Cardiff1 - 2Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Blackpool | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Cardiff City | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | West Bromwich Albion | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Middlesbrough | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Luton Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Wigan Athletic | 5 | -3 | 6 |
We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town
Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
32.13% ( -1.29) | 28.08% ( -0.34) | 39.79% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.05% ( 0.98) | 58.95% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.57% ( 0.76) | 79.43% ( -0.76) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.38) | 33.81% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.52% ( -0.42) | 70.48% ( 0.42) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 1.44) | 28.93% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.19% ( 1.76) | 64.81% ( -1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.79% |
