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EFL Cup
Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Portsmouth

Cardiff
0 - 3
Portsmouth


Nelson (7')
Daley-Campbell (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Portsmouth

Last Six:
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Portsmouth

 We expect Tuesday's contest to be a closely-fought encounter, but we think that Cardiff's championship quality will help them claim a narrow victory over Portsmouth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
32.69% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)47.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)27.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.38% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)22.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.69%
    Portsmouth 42%
    Draw 25.31%
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Cardiff City
76.7%
Draw
7.0%
Portsmouth
16.3%
43
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Portsmouth
Mendez-Laing (48'), Halford (113')
Murphy (45')
Morrison (32' og.)
Jan 21, 2012 3pm
Cardiff
3-2
Portsmouth
Hudson (69'), Conway (90'), Miller (15')
Halford (49')
Aug 27, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Cardiff
Kanu (80')
Lawrence (75')
Taylor (71')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Cardiff
3-0
Portsmouth
Olofinjana (6'), Whittingham (73'), Bothroyd (45')
Samuel (61')

Lawrence (13'), Nugent (60'), Kitson (88')
Rocha (18')
Aug 28, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
0-2
Cardiff

Mokoena (59')
Mullins (37' og.), Bothroyd (49')
rhs 2.0
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