Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
3 - 2
Coventry

Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')

FT(HT: 1-2)

McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Cardiff City	2	0	3
10	Millwall	2	0	3
11	Reading	2	0	3

Coventry City

Last Six:

Last Game: Coventry 1-4 Bristol City
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Preston North End	2	0	2
18	Coventry City	1	0	1
19	Rotherham United	1	0	1

We said: Millwall 2-1 Coventry City

Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Coventry City
41.03% ( 0.02)	29.99% ( 0)	28.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.95% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.07% (

-0.01)

65.93% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.46% (

-0.01)

84.54% (

0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

31.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

0.01)

68.12% (

-0)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.96% (

-0.03)

40.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.31% (

-0.02)

76.69% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Millwall 41.03%

Coventry City 28.98%

Draw 29.98%

Millwall	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.98%	0-1 @ 11.61% 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.98%