Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 1Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 3-1 Stoke City
Flying full-backs and a firing front line, a return to Turf Moor should help Burnley to recover from another last-minute equaliser conceded on the weekend. Against a Stoke City side who were in disarray on Saturday, we expect the Clarets to get the job done reasonably comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
54.54% ( -0.38) | 24.38% ( -0.08) | 21.08% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.83) | 51.96% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% ( 0.71) | 73.71% ( -0.7) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( 0.17) | 18.97% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.5% ( 0.28) | 50.5% ( -0.27) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.95) | 39.35% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.95% ( 0.88) | 76.05% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 54.53%
Stoke City 21.08%
Draw 24.37%
| Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.08% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke
Burnley
82.5%Draw
12.4%Stoke City
5.2%97
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Barnes (89')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
May 16, 2015 3pm
