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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
46.16% ( 0.04) | 27.39% ( -0) | 26.44% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.15% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.29% ( -0.02) | 58.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.75% ( -0.02) | 79.24% ( 0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( 0.01) | 25.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% ( 0.01) | 60.25% ( -0.02) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.88% ( -0.05) | 38.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% ( -0.05) | 74.88% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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