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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford


Fosu (14'), Delap (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Bachmann (32'), Asprilla (48'), Sema (64'), Sierralta (69'), Choudhury (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Given the upheaval at Watford, Stoke arguably enter this contest as the marginal favourites. However, we cannot ignore the extra attacking quality within the Hornets ranks, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)38.11% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.88% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.16%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 27.39%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Watford
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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